My sleep deprived brain would struggle to understand these matters when on top form. But right now, I have no idea:
What did Labour do to switch momentum from Lib Dems back to Labour? In Islington South, Edinburgh South, the City of Durham, Oxford East and most tragically Hampstead and Kilburn they seemed, somehow, to tell people that the right vote is Labour. How did they win that argument? How on earth did a government this unpopular nevertheless convince voters that they were safer with Labour?
Did they use the immigration scare story? Were there loads of leaflets out there saying “Nick Clegg will flood you with immigrants”?
How do the Conservatives feel right now? Iain Dale was seriously concerned when the exit polls came out. Listening to David Cameron, are they dismayed at his long list of areas where the LibDems and Conservatives agree – or do they think ‘Triangulation! Keep Labour out for ever!’ UPDATE Some proof that Tories are NOT happy
UPDATE Do they think things can only get better for them – or worse? I mean, they had SO many advantages in this election – fighting Brown, not being blamed for stuff going wrong in the economy. And they got 36%. In what scenario do they see Conservatives govern and become more popular during a period of austerity? remember what Mervyn King said …
Does Cameron really think that starting to cut now will make the economy stronger? Some economists like Simon Ward agree.
Do they really want strong stable government ‘that lasts’ – or are they hoping their enormous war chest will be used again in a year or so? Following Cameron’s very careful speech reaching out to Liberal Democrats.
I have to break this off. Listening to Cameron is fascinating. I bet the Guardian Columnists are wailing in despair – because it seems like a very fulsome offer, a recognition of their priorities to some extent (though not really on Electoral reform – an All Party Committee Enquiry? Purleeeaaase). The comparison with Brown (read Shrimsley’s comparison with Friday 13th monsters) does not flatter to the current PM … Labour tweeters are going all-out to paint PR as a total red line. Ming Campbell is on their side on that matter.
Cameron said ‘Confidence and Supply’. So did Julian ‘Mystic Meg’ Astle not long ago.