Some observations from signed up members of the sensible party

First, from Chris Dillow: our gilt rates  do not makes us a more risky proposition than Italy: Granted, UK five-year yields are slightly higher than Italy’s: 2.81% vs. 2.72% for benchmark bonds. But this is not a pure measure of creditworthiness. Bond yields also depend upon inflation and currency risk. One reason why gilts yieldContinue reading “Some observations from signed up members of the sensible party”

QE ends; gilt market shrugs; the anniversary verdicts come out

So: did QE work?  The Guardian says that ‘The Bank of England deserves a little credit” for averting Depression. In the event, the apocalypse never quite materialised. Last year was the weakest since the war, and the 18-month-long recession saw 6.2% wiped off economic output; but most economists believe it could have been much worseContinue reading “QE ends; gilt market shrugs; the anniversary verdicts come out”

Changing your mind about QE

Chris Giles’ excellent blog has highlighted the ‘rationalisation after the fact’ of QE – changing your mind about how it works.    Taking the MPC minutes, they demonstrate how the emphasis has changed over time, using an amusing colour coded pair of tables.  Their conclusions: it is obvious the Bank has flipped and flopped over theContinue reading “Changing your mind about QE”